Swarm live — 8 sources voting, Brier-scored 52 live market data streams 4 chains — Ethereum · Arbitrum · Base · Solana 750+ prediction markets scanned Escalation Index — geopolitical signal layer Swarm live — 8 sources voting, Brier-scored 52 live market data streams 4 chains — Ethereum · Arbitrum · Base · Solana 750+ prediction markets scanned Escalation Index — geopolitical signal layer

An agentic swarm that trades like a desk — and keeps score like a scientist.

Eight signal sources vote on live data. A Bull and a Bear argue the evidence; a Judge rules with weights each source earns from its own track record. A separate Risk Sizer sets the stake. The terminal, strategy builder, and prediction intelligence aren't separate products — they're the swarm's senses and hands.

Paper-only, Brier-scored. No performance numbers here until they're independently verifiable.
Escalation Index SAMPLE READING
42
REGIME: TRANSITION
Illustrative sample only — the live index runs inside the Terminal today. Open the Terminal →
52
Data streams
4
Chains
750+
Markets tracked
Inside the desk

The desk, live.

Real prices and real prediction-market odds, streaming on this page right now. The same feeds run inside each product — click any window to open it.

Architecture

Three layers, in the order data actually moves.

Ingestion feeds the risk models; risk models constrain execution. Nothing routes to a chain without passing through the layer above it — and each layer lives in a product you can open today.

01
Data ingestion
Normalized feeds, every 2 minutes
Binance, DeFiLlama, CoinGecko, DexScreener plus geopolitical event indexing — funding rates, order book depth, on-chain TVL, and volatility, unified into one schema.
Runs in: Terminal →
Funding ratesOrder book depthOn-chain TVL
↓52 normalized streams + Escalation Index feed the models — nothing is scored on raw price alone
02
Risk modeling
Regime detection and the Escalation Index
Parametric CVaR / expected shortfall, liquidation density mapping, and protocol risk scoring — the layer that decides whether a signal is sized up, sized down, or held back entirely.
Runs in: Pro Terminal · Risk Engine →
Regime detectionCVaRLiquidation density
↓regime multiplier + drawdown floor + slippage cap — hard boundaries handed to the execution agent
03
Execution & routing
Slippage-aware, multi-venue
Routing across Ethereum, Arbitrum, Base, and Solana with delta-neutral construction and liquidity aggregation — every trade Kelly-sized inside the boundaries set by Layer 2, receipt shown before it moves.
Runs in: Agent Builder · Pro Terminal →
EthereumArbitrumBaseSolana
How it flows

One organism: the swarm senses, strategizes, executes.

Every product is an organ of the same pipeline. The Swarm fuses the signals and argues the call; nothing executes without passing through the strategy layer first — and nothing strategizes without a scored, debated signal behind it.

01
🔍
Terminal · Prediction Agent
Research
The Escalation Index and 750+ scanned markets surface a mispricing or macro shift, scored for confidence before anything is acted on.
Open Terminal →
→ scored signal + confidence
02
🏗️
Strategy Builder
Strategy
The signal becomes a position: regime-aware allocation logic, live Greeks, and hard risk constraints defined before execution is possible.
Open Strategy Builder →
→ sized position, risk-bound
03
⚡
Agent Builder · Pro Terminal
Execution
The agent routes across Ethereum, Arbitrum, Base, and Solana — Kelly-sized strictly inside the boundaries set in step two, with a pre-trade receipt you approve before anything moves.
Open Agent Builder →
Intelligence spotlight

The Prediction Terminal, live now.

A three-pane desk over the whole prediction market: 1,400+ live markets with charts and order books, a real-time whale print feed, the trader P&L leaderboard, and wallet-level position intel — odds straight from the order book, never a stale snapshot.

LIVE — WHALE FEED REFRESHES EVERY 20S
Follow the smart money print by print, then cross-check it against the geopolitical picture: the Escalation Index turns the same headlines those markets price into regime calls and Kelly-sized stakes.
1,400+
Live markets scanned
$10K+
Whale prints tracked
20s
Feed refresh rate
25
Top traders ranked
Early access

Be there when the track record goes live.

We'll notify you at each build-log milestone — wallet connect, the public track record, and vault launch — as they ship, in that order.